MJJ Trial | Brazil
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Model
qa = x1y1 + x2y2 + x3y3 + xzyz
x1y1 = a1b1 + a2b2 + a3b3 + azbz
x2y2 = a1b1 + a2b2 + a3b3 + azbz
x3y3 = a1b1 + a2b2 + a3b3 + azbz
Account Model
A Model that relates to the individuals and events surrounding the Brazil Trip.
qa = marcschaffel1 y1 + vincent2 y2 + janetarvizo3 y3 + mr.davy4 y4 + karenwalker5 y5 + bradmiller6 y6 + xz yz
marcschaffel1 y1 = travelertobrazil1 b1 + houseinbrazil2 b2 + carnival3 b3 + tickets4 b4 + newapartement5 b5 + az bz
vincent2 y2 = meeting with karenwalker1 b1 + postponedtrip2 b2 + cancelledtrip3 b3 + az bz
janetarvizo3 y3 = trip1 b1 + EastL.A.apartment2 b2 + movers3 b3 + kids4 b4 + jayjackson5 b5 + newappartment6 b6 + az bz
mr.davy4 y4 = schoolprincipal1 b1 + mediaattention2 b2 + district3 b3 + checkout4 b4 + returnbooks5 b5 janetarvizo6 b6 + az bz
karenwalker5 y5 = dcfsinterview1 b1 + instructions2 b2 + az bz
bradmiller6 y6 = privateinvestigator1 b1 + securitypersonnel2 b2 + brazil3 b3 + az bz
Discussion Model
marcshaffel1 y1 = travelertobrazil1 (travels to Brazil frequently and stays for long periods during the year)1 + houseinbrazil2 (has a house or appartment in Brazil)2 + carnival3(planned exciting trip during Carnival)3 + tickets4 (purchased two way tickets to Brazil)4 + newapartement5 (vincent to find new appartment for Arvizo’s)5
mr.davy4 y4 = schoolprincipal1 (the school administrator who makes decisions)1 + mediaattention2 (media attention for other students is a distraction)2 + district3 (children live in a different school district using Jay Jackson’s address discovered, Davellin checked in different school district then everyone else)3 + checkout4 (Conversation with Janet Arvizo and ordered to check Gavin and Star out of school)4 + returnbooks5 (books returned, lost books to be paid for)5 + janetarvizo6 (Janet Arvizo upset that the children lost their school in a good school district, when not living in the district)6 + az bz
karenwalker5 y5 = dcfsinterview1 (conducted dcfs interview)1 + instructions2 (media attention at school, jay jackson apartment not suitable for 5 people, check children out of school, find new apartment, check children back into new school)2 + az bz
Variables of Interest
One variable of interest is the karenwalker variable. The trip of going away was disclosed to Karen Walker. The instructions of Karen Walker were attempted to be followed. Finding a new apartment suitable for 4 people, checking the children into a new school.
The other variable of interest is the mr.davy variable. Mr. Davy an administrator of Gavin and Star’s school had much influence. This variable answers the question of why Gavin and Star were checked out of their school. Mr. Davy was in contact with Janet Arvizo and pressured her to check the children out of the school. The media attention on the school was a distraction to the other students. The sub variable of the mr.davy variable was the use of Jay Jackson’s address for Gavin’s and Star to be admitted to the school. Janet Arvizo had an apartment in another city. Davellin was also using a different address for her to be admitted to a different school in a different district. It can be determined that Janet Arvizo was falsifying addresses to have the children in different school districts than the district of where her apartment was located in East Los Angeles.
Conclusion
There were variables left out intentionally to form the conspiracy charge during the trial. Namely, Karen Walker’s model and submodel and Mr. Davy’s model and submodel. Completing this exercise brings the observer closer to equilibrium or truth.
The Brazil trip was planned by Marc Schaffel. The Brazil trip was a get away with Michael and the family. As discussed with Karen Walker, the Arvizo family needed a new apartment suitable for a family of four people. The Arvizo family was to be moved from the current apartment in east Los Angeles to a new apartment. All of Arvizo furniture, clothing and other items were packed and move by Geragos/Brad Miller. There would then be a trip with Michael, namely Brazil. On return, the Arvizo family would have a new apartment and children checked into a new school district.
Click Here to view the overt act of the conspiracy charge. Birth Certificate Receipt1 ,
Birth Certificate Receipt2
Early on, Janet was excited to go on the trip to Brazil with the children and Michael. Janet was asking Chris Tucker’s girlfriend to come on the trip to Brazil. Janet showed Vincent pictures of her beaten by her ex-husband David at her East L.A. apartment and Janet disclosed she needed to go to court for a child support hearing. Vincent assured Janet that the court date for increased child support was the utmost priority. Vincent postponed the Brazil trip to ensure Janet was able to be in court and Vincent brought her to court where Janet won increased child support. Later on, at a point, Vincent asked Janet if she still wanted to go on the Brazil trip. Janet disclosed to Vincent that she did not want to go anymore on the Brazil trip. Vincent immediately called Marc Schaffel and Vincent called off the trip to Brazil. The process continued to find the Arvizo family a new apartment. This was due to the mistake and fall out from the Bashir documentary that turned the Arvizo family lives into chaos. As disclosed by Karen Walker, “it was the least that Michael could do for this family.”
Prosecutors did not know why everyone did not leave for Brazil on the day tickets were made. This was due to the trip being postponed. Prosecutors did not know why everyone did not go to Brazil. This is because the trip was cancelled. The testimony of Vincent was left out of the trial and the public and media did not understand the conspiracy element of the Brazil trip. Now, with this information, the holes in Prosecutors theory have been filled in. A question of interest, why would prosecutors not allow Vincent to testify to this information since it completes the story and actually makes sense. With this information, one can conclude that the Brazil trip never materialized for these reasons and should not have been an overt act of a conspiracy.